The UK economy grew 0.4 per cent in July as the global AI boom helped deliver an unexpectedly robust start to the third quarter, in a boost to Prime Minister Andy Burnham as he prepares for a tough first Budget next m...
The Prediction Archive is a public database of tens of thousands of world predictions. Using AI it tracks predictions over many decades and marks to market. I was surprised to discover that I am currently the highest ...
New technologies swept through Britain during the Second Industrial Revolution, destroying old jobs and creating new ones. We know little about how workers reallocated. Using 170 million full-count British census obse...
From GPT Pro: The Manhattan Project scientists were remarkably good technological and arms-race forecasters. They correctly rejected the idea that America’s nuclear monopoly could be maintained; the Soviet bomb arrive...
Why is war so economically costly? Our answer is that modern war lowers output not only by destroying productive factors, but also by making the surviving economy work less efficiently. Using uniquely comprehensive fi...
1. Some Princeton philosophers are converting to Catholicism. 2. New Ada Palmer podcast. 3. Nice statement of how intelligence is overrated in the AI debates. 4. Joshua Rothman on the phones and mental health (New Yor...
A proposed Trump administration rule aimed at quashing diversity efforts could jeopardize the nonprofit status of private schools. It could take effect in mid-2027.
Here is the link. What are the changes in the other market prices telling you? The post Markets do respond to AGI news appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Trump’s use of a trade tool created during the Great Depression helped trigger a trade war between the two border countries, with few signs of de-escalation in sight.
Canada is a major US supplier of fertilizer ingredients that could get pulled into Trump’s trade war. Farms can go without fertilizer for a while, but not long.